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Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Regular Season - 24 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 19:00

Bohemians

PPG 1.56 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Shamrock Rovers

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-112.9%0-26.6%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.3%1-113.5%1-26.9%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.0%2-17.1%2-23.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.4%3-12.5%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% 42.7% 2.34 -16.2%

Draw 30.4% 31.3% 3.20 -2.7%

Away win 33.7% 32.8% 3.05 +2.8%

Over 2.5 46.2% 47.6% 2.10 -3.0%

Over 3.5 15.5% 26.0% 3.85 -24.2%

BTTS 48.9% 55.6% 1.80 -12.0%

Home O1.5 28.2% 41.7% 2.40 -19.4%

Away O1.5 27.1% 34.7% 2.88 -13.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 6.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.9%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 1–0 13.3%

#4 0–1 12.9%

#5 2–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bohemians1.0

Shamrock Rovers1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BOHEMIANS · PPG 1.56

SHAMROCK ROVERS · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Bohemians (H) 35.8%

ODDS 2.34 · IMPLIED 42.7% EV -16.2%

Draw 30.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -2.7%

Shamrock Rovers (A) 33.7%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +2.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bohemians face Shamrock Rovers in Ireland - Premier Division on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bohemians a 36% chance, the draw 30% and Shamrock Rovers 34%, so Bohemians are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Bohemians and 1.0 for Shamrock Rovers (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bohemians are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.33 for Shamrock Rovers. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Bohemians vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ireland - Premier Division Predictions