Derry City vs Shelbourne Prediction & Tips

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Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 24 The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium· Derry Monday, May 25, 2026 18:45

Derry City PPG 1.44

0-0 HIT CS2

Shelbourne PPG 2.13

Away· +7.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.6%

Odds: 2.32 EV: -15.1%

Draw 27.6%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -6.2%

Away 35.8%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +7.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.10 -0.0%

Over 3.5 22.3% Odds: 3.80 -9.2%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.80 -7.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Derry City

1.22

Shelbourne

1.19

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs Home AVERAGE (1.44)