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Dinamo Batumi vs Rustavi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 15 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 17:00

Dinamo Batumi

PPG 1.57 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Rustavi

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-112.9%0-27.6%0-33.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.3%1-113.3%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.9%2-16.9%2-24.1%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.0%3-12.4%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.2% 38.2% 2.62 -7.8%

Draw 28.6% 35.7% 2.80 -11.9%

Away win 36.2% 40.8% 2.45 -11.3%

Over 2.5 46.2% 45.5% 2.20 +1.6%

Over 3.5 18.3% 26.5% 3.78 -18.5%

BTTS 50.6% 54.1% 1.85 -6.4%

Home O1.5 27.7% 36.8% 2.72 -14.8%

Away O1.5 32.9% 38.9% 2.57 -15.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob50.6%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.0%

#3 0–1 12.9%

#4 1–0✓ 11.3%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Batumi1.0

Rustavi1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO BATUMI · PPG 1.57

RUSTAVI · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Batumi (H) 35.2%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -7.8%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -11.9%

Rustavi (A) 36.2%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -11.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Batumi face Rustavi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Batumi a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Rustavi 36%, so Rustavi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Dinamo Batumi and 1.2 for Rustavi (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Batumi are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.14 for Rustavi. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.6%. This match finished 1-0.

Dinamo Batumi vs Rustavi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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