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Lyngby vs AC Horsens Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 31 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 16:00

Lyngby

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

AC Horsens

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.6%0-19.3%0-24.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.5%1-112.7%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.9%2-18.7%2-23.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.5%3-14.0%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.2% 46.3% 2.16 +4.1%

Draw 27.3% 28.6% 3.50 -2.7%

Away win 24.5% 34.2% 2.92 -17.1%

Over 2.5 46.2% 55.6% 1.80 -16.8%

Over 3.5 19.0% 33.3% 3.00 -25.8%

BTTS 49.2% 60.6% 1.65 -18.8%

Home O1.5 39.7% 47.6% 2.10 -16.6%

Away O1.5 22.0% 39.2% 2.55 -26.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 48% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0 14.5%

#3 0–0 10.6%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lyngby1.4

AC Horsens0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LYNGBY · PPG 2.00

AC HORSENS · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Lyngby (H) 48.2%

ODDS 2.16 · IMPLIED 46.3% EV +4.1%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -2.7%

AC Horsens (A) 24.5%

ODDS 2.92 · IMPLIED 34.2% EV -17.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyngby face AC Horsens in Denmark - 1. Division on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyngby a 48% chance, the draw 27% and AC Horsens 25%, so Lyngby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lyngby and 0.9 for AC Horsens (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyngby are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.53 for AC Horsens. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +4.1%. This match finished 0-2.

Lyngby vs AC Horsens Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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