Today / Denmark - 1. Division / Middelfart vs B 93

Middelfart vs B 93 Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Relegation Group - 31 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 12:00

Middelfart

PPG 0.47 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

B 93

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-17.8%0-27.5%0-34.8%0-4+3.6%1 1-05.2%1-110.0%1-29.6%1-36.1%1-4+4.6%2 2-03.3%2-16.4%2-26.2%2-33.9%2-4+2.9%3 3-01.4%3-12.7%3-22.6%3-31.7%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.2%4+-21.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.6% 20.0% 5.00 +25.8%

Draw 25.2% 25.0% 4.00 +0.5%

Away win 46.2% 64.1% 1.56 -27.9%

Over 2.5 61.4% 66.7% 1.50 -7.9%

Over 3.5 39.8% 45.5% 2.20 -12.4%

BTTS 59.7% 66.7% 1.50 -10.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob59.7%

A 46% / xG 1.3-1.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 7.5%

#4 2–1 6.4%

#5 0–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Middelfart1.3

B 931.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MIDDELFART · PPG 0.47

B 93 · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.27) vs Home POOR (0.47)

Win probability 1X2

Middelfart (H) 28.6%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +25.8%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +0.5%

B 93 (A) 46.2%

ODDS 1.56 · IMPLIED 64.1% EV -27.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Middelfart face B 93 in Denmark - 1. Division on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Middelfart a 29% chance, the draw 25% and B 93 46%, so B 93 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Middelfart and 1.9 for B 93 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Middelfart are averaging 0.47 points per game versus 1.27 for B 93. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +25.8%. This match finished 2-4.

Middelfart vs B 93 Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Denmark - 1. Division Predictions