Today / Denmark - 1. Division / Hvidovre vs Esbjerg

Hvidovre vs Esbjerg Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 31 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 13:00

Hvidovre

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Esbjerg

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-19.3%0-24.4%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.4%1-112.8%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-18.8%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.2%3-14.0%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% 49.0% 2.04 -1.9%

Draw 27.3% 29.0% 3.45 -3.5%

Away win 24.6% 30.8% 3.25 -12.0%

Over 2.5 46.9% 56.5% 1.77 -17.0%

Over 3.5 20.6% 34.5% 2.90 -24.2%

BTTS 51.6% 62.5% 1.60 -17.4%

Home O1.5 39.9% 51.3% 1.95 -22.2%

Away O1.5 24.8% 37.7% 2.65 -20.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 48% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 9.7%

#3 1–0 13.4%

#4 2–0 9.2%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hvidovre1.4

Esbjerg1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.9% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HVIDOVRE · PPG 1.40

ESBJERG · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Hvidovre (H) 48.1%

ODDS 2.04 · IMPLIED 49.0% EV -1.9%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.5%

Esbjerg (A) 24.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -12.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hvidovre face Esbjerg in Denmark - 1. Division on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hvidovre a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Esbjerg 25%, so Hvidovre are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hvidovre and 1.0 for Esbjerg (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hvidovre are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.20 for Esbjerg. This match finished 1-4.

Hvidovre vs Esbjerg Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Denmark - 1. Division Predictions