Today / Denmark - 1. Division / Kolding IF vs Hillerod

Kolding IF vs Hillerod Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 31 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 11:00

Kolding IF

PPG 1.47 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Hillerod

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-111.1%0-26.0%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.2%1-113.3%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.3%2-17.9%2-24.3%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.9%3-13.2%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.4% 28.2% 3.55 +36.3%

Draw 29.7% 27.8% 3.60 +4.2%

Away win 31.9% 53.2% 1.88 -40.0%

Over 2.5 46.2% 55.6% 1.80 -16.8%

Over 3.5 19.7% 33.9% 2.95 -25.1%

BTTS 51.6% 59.9% 1.67 -13.8%

Home O1.5 33.5% 34.7% 2.88 -3.5%

Away O1.5 29.7% 54.1% 1.85 -27.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.6%

D 30% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.2%

#3 1–0 12.2%

#4 0–1 11.1%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolding IF1.2

Hillerod1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLDING IF · PPG 1.47

HILLEROD · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Kolding IF (H) 38.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +36.3%

Draw 29.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +4.2%

Hillerod (A) 31.9%

ODDS 1.88 · IMPLIED 53.2% EV -40.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolding IF face Hillerod in Denmark - 1. Division on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolding IF a 38% chance, the draw 30% and Hillerod 32%, so Kolding IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kolding IF and 1.1 for Hillerod (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolding IF are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.40 for Hillerod. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +36.3%. This match finished 3-0.

Kolding IF vs Hillerod Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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