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Norway - Eliteserien logo Norway flag Norway - Eliteserien Regular Season - 10 Romssa Arena· Tromso Monday, May 25, 2026 15:00
Tromso logo Tromso PPG 2.29
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Aalesund logo Aalesund PPG 1.00
Away· +30.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.2%
Odds: 1.44 EV: -23.4%
Draw 24.7%
Odds: 4.50 EV: +6.7%
Away 22.1%
Odds: 6.80 EV: +30.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.0% Odds: 1.55 -13.2%
Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 2.35 -24.3%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.67 -12.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Tromso
1.94
Aalesund
0.92

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -13.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+30.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs P(Home)=53.2%

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