Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Norway - Eliteserien Regular Season - 10 Sarpsborg Stadion· Sarpsborg Monday, May 25, 2026 15:00

Sarpsborg 08 PPG 1.25

2-1 MISS

Molde PPG 1.00

Draw· +6.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.3%

Odds: 2.50 EV: -16.8%

Draw 28.8%

Odds: 3.85 EV: +6.5%

Away 38.0%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -8.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.50 -30.7%

Over 3.5 19.1% Odds: 2.25 -34.2%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.42 -26.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sarpsborg 08

1.01

Molde

1.24

Model SuggestionBTTS -26.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -26.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+6.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 51%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 5.7%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)