Today / Norway - Eliteserien / KFUM Oslo vs Rosenborg

KFUM Oslo vs Rosenborg Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Regular Season - 10 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 15:00

KFUM Oslo logo
KFUM Oslo
PPG 1.50 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
Rosenborg logo
Rosenborg
PPG 0.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.8%0-19.8%0-23.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.5%1-112.6%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.6%2-18.1%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.6%3-13.5%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 47.6% 43.5% 2.30 +9.5%
Draw 28.2% 28.6% 3.50 -0.8%
Away win 24.2% 34.7% 2.88 -18.2%
Over 2.5 46.2% 55.6% 1.80 -16.8%
Over 3.5 15.3% 33.3% 3.00 -32.5%
BTTS 48.6% 62.5% 1.60 -22.2%
Home O1.5 36.9% 47.6% 2.10 -22.5%
Away O1.5 17.9% 41.7% 2.40 -34.2%

League track record

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%
O2.5 53%
BTTS 49%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -16.0%
Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.6%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 12.8%
#2 1–0 16.5%
#3 1–1 12.6%
#4 2–0 10.6%
#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KFUM Oslo1.3
Rosenborg0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KFUM OSLO · PPG 1.50

ROSENBORG · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=47.6%

Win probability 1X2

KFUM Oslo (H) 47.6%
ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +9.5%
Draw 28.2%
ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -0.8%
Rosenborg (A) 24.2%
ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -18.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

KFUM Oslo face Rosenborg in Norway - Eliteserien on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KFUM Oslo a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Rosenborg 24%, so KFUM Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for KFUM Oslo and 0.8 for Rosenborg (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KFUM Oslo are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.25 for Rosenborg. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.5%. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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