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Latvia - Virsliga logo Latvia flag Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 15 Monday, May 25, 2026 15:00
Ogre United logo Ogre United PPG 0.43
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Grobina logo Grobina PPG 1.50
Home· +25.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.3%
Odds: 3.55 EV: +25.3%
Draw 28.4%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -2.9%
Away 36.3%
Odds: 1.91 EV: -30.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.93 -10.8%
Over 3.5 18.9% Odds: 3.35 -22.0%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.73 -10.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Ogre United
1.11
Grobina
1.13

Model Suggestion

BTTS -10.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+25.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.43)

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