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Farnham Town vs Berkhamsted Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern South

England - Non League Premier - Southern South logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Southern South Regular Season - 41 The Memorial Ground Farnham· Farnham, Surrey Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Farnham Town logo Farnham Town PPG 2.05
1-0 HIT CS4
Berkhamsted logo Berkhamsted PPG 1.60
Over2.5· +6.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Farnham Town face Berkhamsted in England - Non League Premier - Southern South on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Farnham Town a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Berkhamsted 21%, so Farnham Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Farnham Town and 1.2 for Berkhamsted (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Farnham Town are averaging 2.05 points per game versus 1.60 for Berkhamsted. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.1%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -5.9%
Draw 20.8%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -18.9%
Away 21.1%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -15.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.6% Odds: 1.67 +6.2%
Over 3.5 41.5% Odds: —
BTTS 60.9% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Farnham Town
2.09
Berkhamsted
1.19

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +6.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.05) > Away GOOD (1.60)

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