Tikves vs Aresimi Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Macedonia - First League Regular Season - 30 Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:00

Tikves PPG 1.33

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Aresimi PPG 1.13

Away· +37.5% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tikves face Aresimi in Macedonia - First League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tikves a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Aresimi 28%, so Tikves are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Tikves and 1.4 for Aresimi (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tikves are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.13 for Aresimi. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +37.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.2%

Odds: 1.55 EV: -26.8%

Draw 25.3%

Odds: 3.95 EV: -0.1%

Away 27.5%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +37.5%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.73 +10.9%

Over 3.5 42.0% Odds: 2.85 +19.7%

BTTS 65.7% Odds: 1.75 +15.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Tikves

1.89

Aresimi

1.42

Model SuggestionBTTS +15.0% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+37.5%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -30.6%

Bet Hit 38% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.13)