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Lorenskog vs Levanger Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 14:00

Lorenskog

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Levanger

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.5% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.6%0-24.7%0-32.6%0-4+1.6%1 1-05.8%1-19.7%1-28.1%1-34.5%1-4+2.7%2 2-05.0%2-18.3%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-02.9%3-14.8%3-24.0%3-32.2%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.0%4+-22.5%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% 51.3% 1.95 -22.8%

Draw 24.0% 28.2% 3.55 -8.9%

Away win 36.4% 31.3% 3.20 +16.5%

Over 2.5 63.5% 64.5% 1.55 -1.6%

Over 3.5 44.0% 42.6% 2.35 +3.4%

BTTS 60.0% 69.0% 1.45 -13.0%

Home O1.5 51.3% 58.8% 1.70 -12.8%

Away O1.5 49.7% 44.4% 2.25 +11.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob60.0%

H 40% / xG 1.7-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 2–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lorenskog1.7

Levanger1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.5% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LORENSKOG · PPG 2.00

LEVANGER · PPG 3.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Lorenskog (H) 39.6%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -22.8%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -8.9%

Levanger (A) 36.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +16.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lorenskog face Levanger in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lorenskog a 40% chance, the draw 24% and Levanger 36%, so Lorenskog are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Lorenskog and 1.7 for Levanger (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lorenskog are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 3.00 for Levanger. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +16.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Lorenskog vs Levanger Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions