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Honefoss vs Eidsvold Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 11 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 11:00

Honefoss

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eidsvold

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.0% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-17.8%0-27.7%0-35.1%0-4+4.0%1 1-05.0%1-19.8%1-29.7%1-36.4%1-4+5.0%2 2-03.1%2-16.1%2-26.1%2-34.0%2-4+3.1%3 3-01.3%3-12.6%3-22.5%3-31.7%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.1%4+-21.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 26.6% 2.45 -20.9%

Draw 20.8% 3.85 -11.9%

Away win 52.5% 2.30 +20.8%

Over 2.5 64.0% 1.35 -13.6%

Over 3.5 41.3% 1.85 -23.6%

BTTS 61.7% 1.30 -19.8%

Win probability 1X2

Honefoss (H) 26.6%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -20.9%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -11.9%

Eidsvold (A) 52.5%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +20.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob61.7%

A 52% / xG 1.3-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 7.7%

#4 1–3 6.4%

#5 0–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Honefoss1.3

Eidsvold2.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HONEFOSS · PPG 2.00

EIDSVOLD · PPG 2.60

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Honefoss face Eidsvold in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Honefoss a 27% chance, the draw 21% and Eidsvold 53%, so Eidsvold are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Honefoss and 2.0 for Eidsvold (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Honefoss are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.60 for Eidsvold. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.8%.

Honefoss vs Eidsvold Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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