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Lorenskog vs Grorud Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 12:00

Lorenskog

PPG 2.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Grorud

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-16.0%0-23.1%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.6%1-110.9%1-25.6%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.6%2-19.9%2-25.1%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.8%3-15.9%3-23.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-14.0%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 53.5% — —

Draw 22.9% — —

Away win 23.6% — —

Over 2.5 61.3% — —

Over 3.5 37.3% — —

BTTS 55.8% — —

Home Over 1.5 52.6% — —

Away Over 1.5 34.9% — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 29%

ROI 2.4%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.8%

H 54% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.6%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lorenskog1.8

Grorud1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

LORENSKOG · PPG 2.40

GRORUD · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=53.5%

Win probability 1X2

Lorenskog (H) 53.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Grorud (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lorenskog face Grorud in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lorenskog a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Grorud 24%, so Lorenskog are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Lorenskog and 1.0 for Grorud (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lorenskog are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.40 for Grorud.

Lorenskog vs Grorud Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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