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Ull/Kisa vs Rana Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 11:00

Ull/Kisa

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rana

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 75.6% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-12.2%0-22.9%0-32.5%0-4+3.1%1 1-01.8%1-14.8%1-26.2%1-35.4%1-4+6.7%2 2-02.0%2-15.1%2-26.7%2-35.9%2-4+7.2%3 3-01.4%3-13.7%3-24.8%3-34.2%3-4+5.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-13.3%4+-24.3%4+-33.8%4+-4+4.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 35.6% 2.15 -23.5%

Draw 21.4% 3.80 -11.2%

Away win 43.0% 2.65 +14.0%

Over 2.5 75.6% 1.35 +2.1%

Over 3.5 52.9% 1.85 -2.1%

BTTS 68.6% 1.30 -10.8%

Home Over 1.5 60.6% 1.60 -3.0%

Away Over 1.5 69.5% 1.77 +23.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 29%

ROI 2.4%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob68.6%

A 43% / xG 2.2-2.6 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.7%

#2 1–2 6.2%

#3 2–3 5.9%

#4 1–1 4.8%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ull/Kisa2.2

Rana2.6

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ULL/KISA · PPG 1.20

RANA · PPG 0.80

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Ull/Kisa (H) 35.6%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -23.5%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -11.2%

Rana (A) 43.0%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +14.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ull/Kisa face Rana in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ull/Kisa a 36% chance, the draw 21% and Rana 43%, so Rana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Ull/Kisa and 2.6 for Rana (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ull/Kisa are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.80 for Rana. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +43.7%.

Ull/Kisa vs Rana Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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