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Eidsvold vs Tromsdalen Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 12 ·Friday, June 26, 2026, 16:00

Eidsvold

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Tromsdalen

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.1% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-11.5%0-20.8%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-04.4%1-14.8%1-22.6%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.1%2-17.6%2-24.1%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.5%3-18.2%3-24.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-013.5%4+-114.6%4+-27.9%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 65.1% 1.62 +5.5%

Draw 17.3% 4.20 -16.4%

Away win 17.6% 4.00 -17.8%

Over 2.5 72.1% 1.36 -1.9%

Over 3.5 50.4% 1.93 -2.7%

BTTS 61.6% 1.40 -13.8%

Home Over 1.5 77.8% 1.40 +8.9%

Away Over 1.5 36.3% 2.30 -16.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 29%

ROI 2.4%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob61.6%

H 65% / xG 3.2-1.1 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.2%

#2 2–1✓ 7.6%

#3 3–0 7.5%

#4 2–0 7.1%

#5 4–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eidsvold3.2

Tromsdalen1.1

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.1% · O3.5 PROB 50.4%

Form & verdict PPG

EIDSVOLD · PPG 2.00

TROMSDALEN · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Eidsvold (H) 65.1%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV +5.5%

Draw 17.3%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -16.4%

Tromsdalen (A) 17.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -17.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eidsvold face Tromsdalen in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Friday, June 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eidsvold a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Tromsdalen 18%, so Eidsvold are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Eidsvold and 1.1 for Tromsdalen (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eidsvold are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Tromsdalen. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +33.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Eidsvold vs Tromsdalen Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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