Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Junkeren vs Ull.Kisa

Junkeren vs Ull.Kisa Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 13:00

Junkeren

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Ull.Kisa

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 81.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a clear edge.

+22.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.5%0-21.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-02.8%1-14.5%1-23.6%1-31.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-04.4%2-17.0%2-25.6%2-33.0%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.5%3-17.2%3-25.8%3-33.1%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-112.1%4+-29.7%4+-35.1%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.3% 55.6% 1.80 +6.7%

Draw 20.3% 24.4% 4.10 -10.1%

Away win 20.4% 30.3% 3.30 -19.6%

Over 2.5 73.3% 73.5% 1.36 -0.3%

Over 3.5 68.9% 51.3% 1.95 +34.4%

BTTS 63.0% 73.5% 1.36 -14.3%

Home O1.5 81.4% 66.7% 1.50 +22.1%

Away O1.5 47.5% 47.6% 2.10 -0.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.0%

H 59% / xG 3.1-1.6 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.2%

#2 2–1 7.0%

#3 3–2 5.8%

#4 2–2 5.6%

#5 4–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Junkeren3.1

Ull.Kisa1.6

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 68.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JUNKEREN · PPG 1.00

ULL.KISA · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Junkeren (H) 59.3%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV +6.7%

Draw 20.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -10.1%

Ull.Kisa (A) 20.4%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -19.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Junkeren face Ull.Kisa in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Junkeren a 59% chance, the draw 20% and Ull.Kisa 20%, so Junkeren are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Junkeren and 1.6 for Ull.Kisa (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Junkeren are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Ull.Kisa. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +38.1%. This match finished 3-0.

Junkeren vs Ull.Kisa Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions