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Eidsvold vs Rana Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 12:30

Eidsvold

PPG 2.33 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Rana

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 64.3% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-14.0%0-21.1%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.9%1-18.4%1-22.3%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.4%2-18.7%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.7%3-16.0%3-21.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-15.0%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.3% 75.2% 1.33 -14.5%

Draw 23.3% 20.8% 4.80 +7.1%

Away win 12.4% 14.3% 7.00 -7.9%

Over 2.5 52.6% 70.4% 1.42 -25.3%

Over 3.5 27.2% 48.8% 2.05 -26.5%

BTTS 48.6% 62.5% 1.60 -22.2%

Home O1.5 61.4% 76.9% 1.30 -20.2%

Away O1.5 10.9% 29.4% 3.40 -37.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -0.6%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.6%

H 64% / xG 2.1-0.6 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.4%

#2 1–0 14.9%

#3 3–0 10.7%

#4 1–1 8.4%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eidsvold2.1

Rana0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

EIDSVOLD · PPG 2.33

RANA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=64.3%

Win probability 1X2

Eidsvold (H) 64.3%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -14.5%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +7.1%

Rana (A) 12.4%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV -7.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eidsvold face Rana in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eidsvold a 64% chance, the draw 23% and Rana 12%, so Eidsvold are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Eidsvold and 0.6 for Rana (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eidsvold are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Rana. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.1%. This match finished 4-1.

Eidsvold vs Rana Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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