Today / USA - NWSL Women / San Diego W. W vs Orlando Pride W

San Diego W. W vs Orlando Pride W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Group Stage ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 23:00

San Diego W. W

PPG 1.80 · HOME

LAST 5

WLDWW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Orlando Pride W

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 58% chance

Model probability 53.3% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-16.2%0-23.2%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.6%1-111.1%1-25.8%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.8%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.6%3-15.8%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.8%4+-22.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.2% 56.5% 1.77 -9.4%

Draw 24.7% 28.2% 3.55 -7.4%

Away win 24.1% 25.6% 3.90 -3.6%

Over 2.5 52.6% 56.5% 1.77 -6.9%

Over 3.5 31.1% 33.9% 2.95 -8.3%

BTTS 53.3% 59.9% 1.67 -11.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 98 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -6.6%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.3%

H 51% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 0–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Diego W. W1.8

Orlando Pride W1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN DIEGO W. W · PPG 1.80

ORLANDO PRIDE W · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

58%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.80) vs P(Home)=51.2%

Win probability 1X2

San Diego W. W (H) 51.2%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -9.4%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -7.4%

Orlando Pride W (A) 24.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -3.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

San Diego W. W face Orlando Pride W in USA - NWSL Women on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Diego W. W a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Orlando Pride W 24%, so San Diego W. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for San Diego W. W and 1.0 for Orlando Pride W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Diego W. W are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.80 for Orlando Pride W. This match finished 0-1.

San Diego W. W vs Orlando Pride W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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