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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 17 Neo Química Arena· Sao Paulo Sunday, May 24, 2026 21:30
Corinthians logo Corinthians PPG 1.38
1-0 HIT CS3
Atletico MG logo Atletico MG PPG 0.75
Away· +41.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.9%
Odds: 1.84 EV: -32.1%
Draw 31.3%
Odds: 3.30 EV: +3.3%
Away 31.8%
Odds: 4.45 EV: +41.5%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.35 +8.6%
Over 3.5 15.4% Odds: 4.50 -18.4%
BTTS 48.8% Odds: 2.10 +2.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Corinthians
1.06
Atletico MG
1.00

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.75)

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