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Brazil - Serie A
Regular Season - 17
Neo Química Arena· Sao Paulo
Sunday, May 24, 2026
21:30
Corinthians
PPG 1.38
1-0
HIT CS3
Atletico MG
PPG 0.75
Away· +41.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
36.9%
Odds: 1.84
EV: -32.1%
Draw
31.3%
Odds: 3.30
EV: +3.3%
Away
31.8%
Odds: 4.45
EV: +41.5%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.2%
Odds: 2.35
+8.6%
Over 3.5
15.4%
Odds: 4.50
-18.4%
BTTS
48.8%
Odds: 2.10
+2.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✔
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Corinthians
1.06
Atletico MG
1.00
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.75)