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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 15 Estadio El Gigante del Norte· Salta Sunday, May 24, 2026 21:30
Gimnasia y Tiro logo Gimnasia y Tiro PPG 1.50
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Gimnasia Jujuy logo Gimnasia Jujuy PPG 1.17
Over2.5· +36.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.2%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -7.8%
Draw 28.6%
Odds: 2.45 EV: -18.0%
Away 36.2%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +15.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.95 +36.3%
Over 3.5 17.9% Odds: 6.00 +4.4%
BTTS 50.1% Odds: 2.15 +7.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Gimnasia y Tiro
1.08
Gimnasia Jujuy
1.11

Model Suggestion

BTTS +7.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +7.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+36.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 74%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

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