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Argentina - Primera Nacional
Regular Season - 15
Sunday, May 24, 2026
21:00
Colon Santa Fe
PPG 2.43
1-1
HIT CS3
Atletico Mitre
PPG 0.86
Away· +23.2%
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
43.3%
Odds: 1.67
EV: -27.7%
Draw
32.8%
Odds: 3.10
EV: +1.7%
Away
23.9%
Odds: 5.80
EV: +23.2%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.0%
Odds: 2.80
-2.0%
Over 3.5
8.9%
Odds: 6.00
-28.0%
BTTS
46.2%
Odds: 2.50
+15.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✔
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Colon Santa Fe
1.01
Atletico Mitre
0.66
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.43) vs P(Home)=43.3%