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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura logo Paraguay flag Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 22 Estadio Ameliano Villeta· Naranjaisy Sunday, May 24, 2026 20:00
S. Ameliano logo S. Ameliano PPG 1.60
1-2 MISS
S. Trinidense logo S. Trinidense PPG 0.70
Home· +17.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.4%
Odds: 2.58 EV: +17.1%
Draw 29.5%
Odds: 3.15 EV: -4.3%
Away 25.0%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -20.7%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.15 -0.7%
Over 3.5 15.7% Odds: 3.95 -22.8%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.80 -12.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

S. Ameliano
1.21
S. Trinidense
0.86

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=45.4%

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