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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura logo Paraguay flag Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 22 Estadio General Pablo Rojas· Asuncion Sunday, May 24, 2026 20:00
Cerro Porteno logo Cerro Porteno PPG 1.80
2-0 HIT CS3
Rubio Nu logo Rubio Nu PPG 1.10
Away· +19.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.3%
Odds: 1.52 EV: -22.0%
Draw 27.3%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -0.2%
Away 21.3%
Odds: 6.20 EV: +19.2%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.10 -26.5%
Over 3.5 12.0% Odds: 3.70 -33.4%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 2.10 -3.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Cerro Porteno
1.32
Rubio Nu
0.55

Model Suggestion

Home -22.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+19.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 16.7%
Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.10)

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