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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura
Apertura - 22
Estadio Arsenio Erico· Asuncion
Sunday, May 24, 2026
20:00
Nacional
PPG 2.10
2-1
HIT CS4
Libertad
PPG 1.00
Over2.5· -0.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
45.6%
Odds: 2.06
EV: -6.1%
Draw
28.0%
Odds: 3.25
EV: -5.4%
Away
26.4%
Odds: 3.40
EV: -6.1%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
47.6%
Odds: 2.10
-0.0%
Over 3.5
23.2%
Odds: 3.70
-8.5%
BTTS
51.6%
Odds: 1.80
-7.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-1
✔
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional
1.37
Libertad
1.08
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-7.1%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 34 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
38%
O2.5/Under
59%
BTTS/No
47%
Score Hit
50%
ROI
16.7%
Bet Hit
56%
(9 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.10) vs P(Home)=45.6%