Olimpia vs D. Recoleta Prediction & Tips

Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 21 Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb· Capiata Friday, May 15, 2026 12:30

Olimpia PPG 2.33

3-2 MISS

D. Recoleta PPG 0.70

Away· +44.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.5%

Odds: 1.37 EV: -28.1%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +4.3%

Away 22.0%

Odds: 7.90 EV: +44.3%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.2% Odds: 1.70 -18.1%

Over 3.5 25.0% Odds: 2.75 -18.8%

BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.85 -3.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Olimpia

1.71

D. Recoleta

0.82

Model SuggestionHome -28.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -28.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+44.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=52.5%