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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura logo Paraguay flag Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 22 Friday, May 22, 2026 21:00
2 de Mayo logo 2 de Mayo PPG 1.00
0-1 MISS
San Lorenzo logo San Lorenzo PPG 0.20
Away· +4.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.2%
Odds: 1.68 EV: -14.0%
Draw 26.8%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -4.5%
Away 22.0%
Odds: 4.90 EV: +4.7%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.10 -3.0%
Over 3.5 16.8% Odds: 3.70 -22.7%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.93 -6.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

2 de Mayo
1.39
San Lorenzo
0.74

Model Suggestion

Home -14.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -14.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+4.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 16.7%
Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.20)

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