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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura logo Paraguay flag Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 21 Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni· Asuncion Friday, May 15, 2026 20:00
S. Trinidense logo S. Trinidense PPG 1.90
3-1 MISS
Cerro Porteno logo Cerro Porteno PPG 1.89
Home· +10.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.7%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +10.7%
Draw 29.9%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -4.4%
Away 34.4%
Odds: 2.26 EV: -22.3%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.3% Odds: 2.15 -4.8%
Over 3.5 16.3% Odds: 3.95 -21.4%
BTTS 49.7% Odds: 1.83 -9.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

S. Trinidense
1.02
Cerro Porteno
1.09

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.90), Away GOOD (1.89)

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