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Atletico GO vs Sao Bernardo Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Matchday 10 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 19:00

Atletico GO

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDWW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Sao Bernardo

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-116.2%0-210.7%0-34.7%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.6%1-112.6%1-28.3%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-03.7%2-14.9%2-23.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.0%3-11.3%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.4% 53.2% 1.88 -32.5%

Draw 29.4% 31.3% 3.20 -3.5%

Away win 46.1% 22.5% 4.45 +105.1%

Over 2.5 46.2% 41.7% 2.40 +10.9%

Over 3.5 15.9% 21.1% 4.75 -14.7%

BTTS 48.6% 48.8% 2.05 -0.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 175 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 22.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.6%

A 46% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1✓ 16.2%

#3 0–0 12.4%

#4 0–2 10.7%

#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Atletico GO0.8

Sao Bernardo1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ATLETICO GO · PPG 1.75

SAO BERNARDO · PPG 2.50

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

49%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Atletico GO (H) 24.4%

ODDS 1.88 · IMPLIED 53.2% EV -32.5%

Draw 29.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.5%

Sao Bernardo (A) 46.1%

ODDS 4.45 · IMPLIED 22.5% EV +105.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico GO face Sao Bernardo in Brazil - Serie B on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico GO a 24% chance, the draw 29% and Sao Bernardo 46%, so Sao Bernardo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Atletico GO and 1.3 for Sao Bernardo (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico GO are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.50 for Sao Bernardo. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +105.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Atletico GO vs Sao Bernardo Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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