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Remo vs Athletico PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie A

Regular Season - 17 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 19:00

Remo

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Athletico PR

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-110.9%0-26.9%0-32.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.2%1-112.9%1-28.2%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.0%2-17.7%2-24.9%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.4%3-13.0%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% 38.2% 2.62 -6.2%

Draw 27.4% 31.3% 3.20 -7.4%

Away win 36.8% 37.7% 2.65 -2.5%

Over 2.5 47.6% 47.6% 2.10 -0.0%

Over 3.5 23.3% 26.7% 3.75 -7.6%

BTTS 51.6% 56.5% 1.77 -8.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 68 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 51%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 17%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob51.6%

A 37% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.6%

#3 0–1 10.9%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 1–2✓ 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Remo1.2

Athletico PR1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.3%

Form & verdict PPG

REMO · PPG 1.00

ATHLETICO PR · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Remo (H) 35.8%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -6.2%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -7.4%

Athletico PR (A) 36.8%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -2.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Remo face Athletico PR in Brazil - Serie A on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Remo a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Athletico PR 37%, so Athletico PR are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Remo and 1.3 for Athletico PR (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Remo are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.57 for Athletico PR. This match finished 1-2.

Remo vs Athletico PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Serie A Predictions