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Chaco For Ever vs D. Madryn Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 19:00

Chaco For Ever

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

D. Madryn

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-115.3%0-29.4%0-33.8%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.7%1-113.1%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.6%2-15.6%2-23.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.3%3-11.6%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.9% 44.4% 2.25 -22.3%

Draw 29.4% 37.0% 2.70 -12.4%

Away win 42.6% 29.0% 3.45 +47.0%

Over 2.5 46.2% 37.0% 2.70 +24.7%

Over 3.5 15.7% 18.2% 5.50 -8.2%

BTTS 48.6% 47.6% 2.10 +2.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.6%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 12.5%

#3 0–1 15.3%

#4 0–2 9.4%

#5 1–0 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chaco For Ever0.9

D. Madryn1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CHACO FOR EVER · PPG 1.00

D. MADRYN · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Chaco For Ever (H) 27.9%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -22.3%

Draw 29.4%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -12.4%

D. Madryn (A) 42.6%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +47.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Chaco For Ever face D. Madryn in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chaco For Ever a 28% chance, the draw 29% and D. Madryn 43%, so D. Madryn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Chaco For Ever and 1.2 for D. Madryn (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chaco For Ever are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.14 for D. Madryn. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +47.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Chaco For Ever vs D. Madryn Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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