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Argentina - Primera Nacional
Regular Season - 15
Ofelia Rosenzuaig· Buenos Aires
Sunday, May 24, 2026
19:00
Agropecuario
PPG 1.43
0-0
HIT MostLikelyScore
Quilmes
PPG 0.57
Away· +27.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
34.6%
Odds: 2.05
EV: -29.1%
Draw
32.5%
Odds: 2.80
EV: -9.0%
Away
32.8%
Odds: 3.90
EV: +27.9%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.0%
Odds: 2.85
-0.3%
Over 3.5
10.1%
Odds: 6.50
-20.6%
BTTS
46.2%
Odds: 2.30
+6.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✔
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Agropecuario
0.85
Quilmes
0.90
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 99 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
42%
O2.5/Under
76%
BTTS/No
66%
Score Hit
74%
ROI
0.3%
Bet Hit
47%
(17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.43) vs P(Home)=34.6%