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Torino vs Juventus Prediction— Italy - Serie A

Matchday 38 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 18:45

Torino

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Juventus

PPG 1.72 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWLD

// Model verdict

BTTS 52% chance

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 52.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-112.7%0-210.2%0-35.5%0-4+3.2%1 1-07.3%1-111.8%1-29.5%1-35.1%1-4+2.9%2 2-03.4%2-15.5%2-24.4%2-32.4%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.1%3-11.7%3-21.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.9% 14.7% 6.80 +41.6%

Draw 27.5% 23.0% 4.35 +11.8%

Away win 47.6% 69.4% 1.44 -31.5%

Over 2.5 47.6% 57.1% 1.75 -16.7%

Over 3.5 25.1% 35.1% 2.85 -17.1%

BTTS 51.6% 52.6% 1.90 -2.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -36.2%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob51.6%

A 48% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 0–1 12.7%

#3 0–2 10.2%

#4 0–0 7.9%

#5 1–2 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torino0.9

Juventus1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 25.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TORINO · PPG 1.50

JUVENTUS · PPG 1.72

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

Chance this pick lands

52%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.72)

Win probability 1X2

Torino (H) 24.9%

ODDS 6.80 · IMPLIED 14.7% EV +41.6%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 4.35 · IMPLIED 23.0% EV +11.8%

Juventus (A) 47.6%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -31.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torino face Juventus in Italy - Serie A on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torino a 25% chance, the draw 28% and Juventus 48%, so Juventus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Torino and 1.6 for Juventus (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torino are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.72 for Juventus. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +41.6%. This match finished 2-2.

Torino vs Juventus Prediction— Italy - Serie A

Match Preview & Prediction

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