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Italy - Serie A
Regular Season - 38
Stadio Via del Mare· Lecce
Sunday, May 24, 2026
18:45
Lecce
PPG 0.94
1-0
HIT CS4
Genoa
PPG 1.06
Away· +86.7%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
30.5%
Odds: 1.72
EV: -47.5%
Draw
32.9%
Odds: 3.45
EV: +13.5%
Away
36.6%
Odds: 5.10
EV: +86.7%
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
36.2%
Odds: 2.25
-18.6%
Over 3.5
13.9%
Odds: 4.33
-23.9%
BTTS
48.6%
Odds: 2.15
+4.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
1-0
✔
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce
0.89
Genoa
1.09
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 60 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
42%
O2.5/Under
55%
BTTS/No
47%
Score Hit
53%
ROI
-26.7%
Bet Hit
40%
(10 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.94), Away AVERAGE (1.06)