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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 38 Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi· Verona Sunday, May 24, 2026 18:45
Hellas Verona logo Hellas Verona PPG 0.44
0-2 HIT CS2
AS Roma logo AS Roma PPG 1.56
Home· +26.7% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.9%
Odds: 9.70 EV: +26.7%
Draw 27.1%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +22.9%
Away 58.1%
Odds: 1.29 EV: -25.1%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.80 -16.8%
Over 3.5 18.1% Odds: 2.95 -28.0%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.30 +11.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Hellas Verona
0.64
AS Roma
1.56

Model Suggestion

Away -25.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -25.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+26.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.56) vs Home POOR (0.44)

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