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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 15 Estadio de Chacarita Juniors· Buenos Aires Sunday, May 24, 2026 18:30
Chacarita J. logo Chacarita J. PPG 1.86
1-0 HIT CS2
Almagro logo Almagro PPG 0.71
BTTS· +6.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.9%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -18.9%
Draw 32.3%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -3.1%
Away 20.8%
Odds: 5.25 EV: +5.5%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.60 -9.0%
Over 3.5 10.5% Odds: 5.50 -25.4%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 2.30 +6.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Chacarita J.
1.16
Almagro
0.62

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 74%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=46.9%

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