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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 15 Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano· Moron Sunday, May 24, 2026 18:00
Deportivo Moron logo Deportivo Moron PPG 2.43
2-0 HIT CS4
CA Estudiantes logo CA Estudiantes PPG 1.43
BTTS· +6.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.7%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -8.9%
Draw 32.4%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -12.5%
Away 20.9%
Odds: 4.50 EV: -3.6%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.90 +1.5%
Over 3.5 8.4% Odds: 6.50 -27.2%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 2.30 +6.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Moron
1.07
CA Estudiantes
0.57

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 74%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.43) vs P(Home)=46.7%

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