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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 41 Estadio de Gran Canaria· Las Palmas Sunday, May 24, 2026 16:30
Las Palmas logo Las Palmas PPG 2.05
1-1 HIT CS4
Real Zaragoza logo Real Zaragoza PPG 0.85
Away· +46.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.2%
Odds: 1.39 EV: -27.4%
Draw 26.2%
Odds: 4.35 EV: +8.4%
Away 21.7%
Odds: 8.20 EV: +46.8%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.80 -16.8%
Over 3.5 17.2% Odds: 3.00 -29.0%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.95 -5.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Las Palmas
1.51
Real Zaragoza
0.64

Model Suggestion

Home -27.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -27.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+46.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 54%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.05) vs P(Home)=52.2%

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