Huesca vs Castellon Prediction & Tips

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Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 41 Estadio El Alcoraz· Huesca Sunday, May 24, 2026 16:30

Huesca PPG 1.40

0-1 HIT CS2

Castellon PPG 1.30

Home· +20.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.7%

Odds: 4.65 EV: +20.1%

Draw 27.4%

Odds: 3.95 EV: +4.9%

Away 43.9%

Odds: 1.66 EV: -27.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.65 -13.2%

Over 3.5 26.6% Odds: 2.65 -17.7%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.62 -14.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✔

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Huesca

1.10

Castellon

1.51

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -13.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+20.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 8.0%

Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.30)