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Kristiansund vs Viking Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Matchday 10 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 16:00

Kristiansund

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLD

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Viking

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWD

// Model verdict

Away 67% chance

Model probability 64.3% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-19.0%0-210.5%0-38.1%0-4+8.2%1 1-03.6%1-18.3%1-29.7%1-37.5%1-4+7.6%2 2-01.7%2-13.9%2-24.5%2-33.5%2-4+3.5%3 3-00.5%3-11.2%3-21.4%3-31.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.7% 17.9% 5.60 -14.0%

Draw 22.0% 21.7% 4.60 +0.7%

Away win 64.3% 67.6% 1.48 -4.8%

Over 2.5 61.4% 71.4% 1.40 -14.0%

Over 3.5 41.1% 50.0% 2.00 -17.8%

BTTS 54.3% 67.6% 1.48 -19.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 93 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 42%

ROI 9.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob54.3%

A 64% / xG 0.9-2.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.5%

#2 1–2✓ 9.7%

#3 1–1 8.3%

#4 0–3 8.1%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kristiansund0.9

Viking2.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 41.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KRISTIANSUND · PPG 1.75

VIKING · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

67%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.75) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

Kristiansund (H) 13.7%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV -14.0%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +0.7%

Viking (A) 64.3%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kristiansund face Viking in Norway - Eliteserien on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kristiansund a 14% chance, the draw 22% and Viking 64%, so Viking are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Kristiansund and 2.3 for Viking (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kristiansund are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.25 for Viking. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.7%. This match finished 1-2.

Kristiansund vs Viking Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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