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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 38 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona· Naples Sunday, May 24, 2026 16:00
Napoli logo Napoli PPG 2.22
1-0 HIT CS2
Udinese logo Udinese PPG 1.50
Away· +30.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.9%
Odds: 1.50 EV: -23.6%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +1.8%
Away 24.0%
Odds: 6.25 EV: +30.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.85 -11.9%
Over 3.5 25.3% Odds: 3.10 -12.9%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.95 +0.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Napoli
1.59
Udinese
0.96

Model Suggestion

BTTS +0.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +0.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+30.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.22) > Away GOOD (1.50)

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