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Italy - Serie A
Regular Season - 38
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona· Naples
Sunday, May 24, 2026
16:00
Napoli
PPG 2.22
1-0
HIT CS2
Udinese
PPG 1.50
Away· +30.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
50.9%
Odds: 1.50
EV: -23.6%
Draw
25.1%
Odds: 4.10
EV: +1.8%
Away
24.0%
Odds: 6.25
EV: +30.0%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
47.6%
Odds: 1.85
-11.9%
Over 3.5
25.3%
Odds: 3.10
-12.9%
BTTS
51.6%
Odds: 1.95
+0.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✔
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
0-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Napoli
1.59
Udinese
0.96
Model Suggestion
BTTS
+0.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is +0.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+30.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.22) > Away GOOD (1.50)