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Sandviken vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 15:00

Sandviken logo
Sandviken
PPG 1.25 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Landskrona logo
Landskrona
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-111.0%0-26.9%0-32.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.4%1-113.0%1-28.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.1%2-17.7%2-24.8%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.4%3-13.0%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.8% 40.0% 2.50 -10.5%
Draw 27.4% 29.0% 3.45 -3.3%
Away win 36.8% 37.7% 2.65 -2.5%
Over 2.5 47.6% 54.6% 1.83 -12.9%
Over 3.5 22.9% 33.3% 3.00 -18.8%
BTTS 51.6% 62.5% 1.60 -17.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 52%
BTTS 55%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -3.3%
Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 16%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob51.6%

A 37% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%
#2 0–0 8.8%
#3 0–1 11.0%
#4 1–0 10.4%
#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken1.2
Landskrona1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.25

LANDSKRONA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken (H) 35.8%
ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -10.5%
Draw 27.4%
ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.3%
Landskrona (A) 36.8%
ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -2.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken face Landskrona in Sweden - Superettan on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Landskrona 37%, so Landskrona are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sandviken and 1.3 for Landskrona (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Landskrona. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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