Today / Sweden - Superettan / Sandviken vs Landskrona

Sandviken vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 9 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 15:00

Sandviken

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDD

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Landskrona

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDDD

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-111.0%0-26.9%0-32.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.4%1-113.0%1-28.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.1%2-17.7%2-24.8%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.4%3-13.0%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% 40.0% 2.50 -10.5%

Draw 27.4% 29.0% 3.45 -3.3%

Away win 36.8% 37.7% 2.65 -2.5%

Over 2.5 47.6% 54.6% 1.83 -12.9%

Over 3.5 22.9% 33.3% 3.00 -18.8%

BTTS 51.6% 62.5% 1.60 -17.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 107 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -3.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 16%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob51.6%

A 37% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.8%

#3 0–1✓ 11.0%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken1.2

Landskrona1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.25

LANDSKRONA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

59%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken (H) 35.8%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -10.5%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.3%

Landskrona (A) 36.8%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -2.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken face Landskrona in Sweden - Superettan on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Landskrona 37%, so Landskrona are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sandviken and 1.3 for Landskrona (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Landskrona. This match finished 0-1.

Sandviken vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Superettan Predictions