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Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 15:00

Dinamo Tbilisi

PPG 1.29 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Torpedo Kutaisi

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-114.1%0-28.4%0-33.4%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.1%1-113.3%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-05.2%2-16.3%2-23.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.7%3-12.0%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.9% 35.7% 2.80 -13.5%

Draw 30.2% 33.3% 3.00 -9.4%

Away win 38.9% 44.4% 2.25 -12.5%

Over 2.5 46.2% 48.8% 2.05 -5.3%

Over 3.5 16.9% 29.9% 3.34 -26.1%

BTTS 49.2% 57.8% 1.73 -14.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.2%

D 30% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.7%

#3 0–1✓ 14.1%

#4 1–0 11.1%

#5 0–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Tbilisi0.9

Torpedo Kutaisi1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 16.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO TBILISI · PPG 1.29

TORPEDO KUTAISI · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Tbilisi (H) 30.9%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -13.5%

Draw 30.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.4%

Torpedo Kutaisi (A) 38.9%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Tbilisi face Torpedo Kutaisi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Tbilisi a 31% chance, the draw 30% and Torpedo Kutaisi 39%, so Torpedo Kutaisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.2 for Torpedo Kutaisi (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Tbilisi are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.29 for Torpedo Kutaisi. This match finished 0-1.

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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