Today / Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 / Sioni vs Telavi

Sioni vs Telavi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Matchday 23 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:00

Sioni

PPG 1.73 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Telavi

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-19.8%0-24.1%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.4%1-112.8%1-25.3%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.0%2-18.3%2-23.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.4%3-13.6%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% 38.2% 2.62 +15.8%

Draw 26.9% 33.3% 3.00 -11.6%

Away win 28.9% 40.8% 2.45 -17.5%

Over 2.5 43.1% 42.0% 2.38 +2.6%

Over 3.5 20.7% 22.2% 4.50 -4.1%

BTTS 47.2% 51.3% 1.95 -8.0%

Home O1.5 37.2% — — —

Away O1.5 23.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 30.0%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 44% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.4%

#2 1–1 12.8%

#3 0–0 11.8%

#4 0–1 9.8%

#5 2–0 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sioni1.3

Telavi0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SIONI · PPG 1.73

TELAVI · PPG 1.20

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.47, combined xG 2.13 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sioni (H) 44.2%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +15.8%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -11.6%

Telavi (A) 28.9%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -17.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sioni face Telavi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sioni a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Telavi 29%, so Sioni are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sioni and 0.8 for Telavi (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sioni are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.20 for Telavi. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +12.6%. This match finished 2-1.

Sioni vs Telavi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Predictions