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C. Zmijavci vs Hrvace Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Regular Season - 32 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 15:00

C. Zmijavci

PPG 0.93 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Hrvace

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-112.1%0-26.5%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.5%1-113.4%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.0%2-17.4%2-24.0%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.6%3-12.8%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% — — —

Draw 29.3% — — —

Away win 34.3% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 49.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -10.0%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.4%

D 29% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.3%

#3 1–0 12.5%

#4 0–1 12.1%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

C. Zmijavci1.1

Hrvace1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

C. ZMIJAVCI · PPG 0.93

HRVACE · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

C. Zmijavci (H) 36.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hrvace (A) 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Zmijavci face Hrvace in Croatia - First NL on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Zmijavci a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Hrvace 34%, so C. Zmijavci are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for C. Zmijavci and 1.1 for Hrvace (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Zmijavci are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.75 for Hrvace. This match finished 3-0.

C. Zmijavci vs Hrvace Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Match Preview & Prediction

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