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Dubrava Zagreb vs Opatija Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 15:30

Dubrava Zagreb

PPG 1.63 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Opatija

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.9%0-112.4%0-25.1%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.0%1-113.3%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.6%2-17.1%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.1%3-12.6%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.1% — — —

Draw 33.6% — — —

Away win 25.3% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 12.6% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -10.0%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.6%

H 41% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.9%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 1–0 16.0%

#4 0–1 12.4%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dubrava Zagreb1.1

Opatija0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 12.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DUBRAVA ZAGREB · PPG 1.63

OPATIJA · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Dubrava Zagreb (H) 41.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Opatija (A) 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dubrava Zagreb face Opatija in Croatia - First NL on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dubrava Zagreb a 41% chance, the draw 34% and Opatija 25%, so Dubrava Zagreb are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Dubrava Zagreb and 0.8 for Opatija (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dubrava Zagreb are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.94 for Opatija. This match finished 3-2.

Dubrava Zagreb vs Opatija Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Match Preview & Prediction

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