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Croatia - First NL
Regular Season - 32
Friday, May 22, 2026
11:45
Sesvete
PPG 1.88
2-1
MISS
Bijelo Brdo
PPG 0.81
Away· +35.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
46.7%
Odds: 1.36
EV: -36.5%
Draw
32.4%
Odds: 3.80
EV: +23.1%
Away
20.9%
Odds: 7.60
EV: +35.3%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.0%
Odds: 2.00
-30.0%
Over 3.5
8.8%
Odds: 3.72
-40.4%
BTTS
46.2%
Odds: 2.30
+6.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sesvete
1.10
Bijelo Brdo
0.56
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=46.7%