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Bodo/Glimt vs Brann Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 14:00

Bodo/Glimt

PPG 2.25 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Brann

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-12.1%0-21.3%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-04.8%1-16.0%1-23.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.8%2-18.5%2-25.3%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-06.4%3-18.0%3-25.0%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-09.0%4+-111.3%4+-27.1%4+-32.9%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.2% 78.1% 1.28 -24.2%

Draw 20.4% 17.9% 5.60 +8.5%

Away win 20.4% 11.4% 8.80 +47.7%

Over 2.5 63.9% 78.1% 1.28 -18.2%

Over 3.5 58.2% 57.8% 1.73 +0.7%

BTTS 59.7% 67.6% 1.48 -11.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -16.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 59% / xG 2.8-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.5%

#2 3–1✓ 8.0%

#3 1–1 6.0%

#4 2–0 6.8%

#5 3–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bodo/Glimt2.8

Brann1.2

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 58.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BODO/GLIMT · PPG 2.25

BRANN · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=59.2%

Win probability 1X2

Bodo/Glimt (H) 59.2%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -24.2%

Draw 20.4%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV +8.5%

Brann (A) 20.4%

ODDS 8.80 · IMPLIED 11.4% EV +47.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bodo/Glimt face Brann in Norway - Eliteserien on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bodo/Glimt a 59% chance, the draw 20% and Brann 20%, so Bodo/Glimt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Bodo/Glimt and 1.2 for Brann (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bodo/Glimt are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.17 for Brann. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +47.7%. This match finished 3-1.

Bodo/Glimt vs Brann Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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